Mary Lai O. Salvaña, Ph.D.

Assistant Professor in Statistics

Department of Statistics, University of Connecticut

Office

Philip E. Austin Building, Room 330
215 Glenbrook Road, U-4120
Storrs, CT 06269-4120

"Having lived through the devastations of Supertyphoon Sendong (Washi), I witnessed firsthand how a single event can unleash cascading disasters. Power grids failed, transportation systems collapsed, hospitals became overwhelmed, and communication networks went dark—each failure amplifying the next. This experience drives my work advancing self-organized criticality models for next-generation early warning systems, shifting from crisis reaction to crisis prevention."

Predict. Prevent. Protect.

What's New

Organizer & Chair Boston, MA · August 6, 2026

High-Performance Statistical Computing: Challenges, Opportunities, and Future Directions

Invited Session at JSM 2026. Learn more →

About

I'm an Assistant Professor in Statistics at the University of Connecticut. Prior to joining UConn, I was a Postdoctoral Fellow at the University of Houston. I received my Ph.D. at KAUST, Saudi Arabia.

My research interests include extreme events, risks, disasters, space-time statistics, high-dimensional and multivariate statistics, high performance computing, big data, machine learning, deep learning, artificial intelligence, and environmental data science.

My mission is to understand the dynamics of the climate system using statistics and to communicate its laws through statistical models. Climate change is now outpacing climate models. The systems and infrastructures built for managing disastrous events were based on models rendered outdated by the new normal of extreme climate events.

I lead the research on Extreme Events, Risks, and Disasters that develops state-of-the-art models to advance climate science and shape our awareness of future disaster chains. By combining space-time statistics, extreme statistics, Bayesian statistics, machine learning, physics models, and high-performance computing, we develop new models that more faithfully render topographic, geologic, atmospheric, and biological details.

CV

Research Interests

Extreme and catastrophic events, risks, disasters, crash protection, antifragility, spatial and spatio-temporal statistics, high-dimensional and multivariate statistics, high performance computing, computational statistics, environmental data science, big data, machine learning, deep learning, artificial intelligence

Education

Ph.D. in Statistics, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST), Saudi Arabia (2017–2021)

Thesis: Lagrangian Spatio-Temporal Covariance Functions for Multivariate Nonstationary Random Fields. Adviser: Marc G. Genton

M.S. in Applied Mathematics, Ateneo de Manila University, Philippines (2015–2016)

B.S. in Applied Mathematics, Ateneo de Manila University, Philippines (2011–2015)

Employment

Assistant Professor in Statistics, University of Connecticut (2023–present)

Visiting Professor, Statistics Department, KAUST, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia (Oct 2023–Dec 2023)

Postdoctoral Researcher, University of Houston (2021–2023)

Honors

Al-Kindi Statistics Research Student Award, KAUST (2021)

Affiliations

American Statistical Association
New England Statistical Society
International Statistical Institute
The International Environmetrics Society
Royal Statistical Society
Institute of Mathematical Statistics
Caucus for Women in Statistics and Data Science, Country Representative (Philippines)
Ateneo Innovation Center

Activities

Co-founder, Co-organizer & Webmaster, High-Performance Statistical Computing (2025–present)

Founder, Co-organizer & Webmaster, Spatio-Temporal Statistics and Data Science Online Seminars (2025–present)

Research

Extreme & Catastrophic Events

Risks

Disasters

Spatial & Spatio-Temporal Statistics

Climate & Environmental Data Science

High Performance Computing

Computational Statistics

Publications

Preprints

  1. Salvaña, M. L. O., Abdulah, S., Kim, M., Helmy, D., Sun, Y., & Genton, M. G. (2025). MPCR: Multi- and Mixed-Precision Computations Package in R. arXiv
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  2. Salvaña, M. L. O. (2025). Multi-Hazard Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Damage Prediction. arXiv
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  3. Salvaña, M. L. O. & Tangonan, G. L. (2025). Predicting Power Grid Failures Using Self-Organized Criticality: A Case Study of the Texas Grid (2014–2022). arXiv
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Journal Articles

  1. Salvaña, M. L. O., & Genton, M. G. (2020). Nonstationary cross-covariance functions for multivariate spatio-temporal random fields. Spatial Statistics, 37, 100411. DOI
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  2. Salvaña, M. L. O., & Genton, M. G. (2021). Lagrangian spatio-temporal nonstationary covariance functions. Advances in Contemporary Statistics and Econometrics, 427–447. DOI
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  3. Salvaña, M. L. O., Abdulah, S., Huang, H., Ltaief, H., Sun, Y., Genton, M. G., & Keyes, D. E. (2021). High performance multivariate spatial modeling for geostatistical data on manycore systems. IEEE TPDS, 32(11), 2719–2733. DOI
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  4. Salvaña, M. L. O., Abdulah, S., Ltaief, H., Sun, Y., Genton, M. G., & Keyes, D. E. (2022). Parallel space-time likelihood optimization for air pollution prediction on large-scale systems. PASC '22, 17, 1–11. DOI
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  5. Salvaña, M. L. O., Lenzi, A., & Genton, M. G. (2023). Spatio-temporal cross-covariance functions under the Lagrangian framework with multiple advections. JASA, 118, 2746–2761. DOI
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  6. Abdulah, S., Salvaña, M. L. O., Sun, Y., Keyes, D. E., & Genton, M. G. (2025). High-Performance Statistical Computing (HPSC): Challenges, Opportunities, and Future Directions. WIREs Comp. Stat., 17, e70052. DOI
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  7. Salvaña, M. L. O., Bolingot, H. J. M., & Tangonan, G. L. (2026). A self-organized criticality model of extreme events and cascading disasters of hub-and-spoke air traffic networks. Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduction, 133, 106009. DOI
    PDF

Teaching

STAT 3115Q/5315

Analysis of Experiments (Spring 2025)

STAT 4845/5845

Applied Spatio-Temporal Statistics (Fall 2025)

STAT 3375Q

Introduction to Mathematical Statistics I (Spring 2024)

Events

Upcoming

Aug 6, 2026

High-Performance Statistical Computing: Challenges, Opportunities, and Future Directions

Organizer & Chair · Invited Session, JSM 2026 · Boston, MA Learn more →

Past

Oct 2025

Large-Scale Spatial Data Science Short Course · Instructor

ISI World Statistics Congress · The Hague, Netherlands

Aug 2025

Applications of Spatio-Temporal Modeling · Invited Speaker

EcoSta 2025 · Waseda University, Tokyo

Aug 2025

Multi-Hazard Bayesian Hierarchical Model · Invited Speaker

JSM 2025 · Nashville, TN

Aug 2025

Large-Scale Spatial Data Science Short Course · Instructor

JSM 2025 · Nashville, TN

Jun 2025

SOC Model of Extreme Events and Cascading Disasters · Invited Speaker

University of Missouri

Aug 2024

Large-Scale Spatial Data Science Short Course · Instructor

JSM 2024 · Portland, OR

May 2024

Large-Scale Spatial Data Science Short Course · Instructor

NESS 2024 · University of Connecticut